Description: Description * Coinsurance has not been widely offered as a benefit reduction option to offset long-term care premium rate increases. This article uses an illustrative example to evaluate the potential impact coinsurance could have on an insurance carrier's future claim liabilities and a policyholder's premium rates. It also explores various considerations insurance carriers, regulators, and policyholders should think about when evaluating whether coinsurance is the right option.

Description: This report describes two methods, an observation-based analysis and an actual to model analysis, to analyze long-term care insurance experience to determine if calendar year trends exist.

Description: Navigate a perspective on the process of developing estimates and projections of mortality rates, based on a Living to 100 paper by the teacher. Discover the approach and considerations an actuary (or others) can take to develop a mortality rate assumption for five time periods. It will describe techniques to estimate historical mortality rates from which to project future mortality rates.

Description: This session discusses continuing care retirement communities. What opportunities exist? What role does the actuary play? From Record of Society of Actuaries, Volume 26, No. 1.

Description: Mortality Model Selection and Combination in RAlternative approaches for selecting mortality models and forecasting mortality have been proposed. The usual practice is to base mortality forecasts on a single mortality model selected using in-sample goodness-of-fit measures. However, cross-validation and other alternative out-of-sample measures are increasingly being used in model selection, and model combination methods are becoming a common alternative to using a single mortality model. Such methods combine predictions from multiple mortality models to reduce model choice uncertainty and improve forecast accuracy. Explore techniques to select and combine mortality models using the freely available open source R package CoMoMo (https://github.com/kessysalvatory/CoMoMo), which extends the widely used R package StMoMo (https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=StMoMo). We will use data for the USA and other countries to discuss and demonstrate four different model combination approaches including simple model averaging, Bayesian model averaging, model confidence set, and stacked regression ensembles.

Description: Millions of aging Americans are challenged to prepare for uncertain health and financial setbacks in addition to cognitive impairment that impacts one-third of adults over age 85. Advanced planning can reduce the negative impact of impairment on personal finances, including financial exploitation, scams and fraud, and care and spending decisions that are not aligned with retirement goals. To address these issues, the SOA’s Aging and Retirement Strategic Research Program co-sponsored work on the Thinking Ahead Roadmap which was created by a team from the University of Minnesota and Stanford Center on Longevity. In this webinar, members of the research team will preview the Thinking Ahead Roadmap and the steps that people can take to help ensure their financial wishes are honored as they age. The presenters will discuss: 1. Advice on choosing the right financial advocate 2. Organizing financial information to pave the way for a smooth transition 3. Starting open and honest conversations about future money management 4. The importance of a financial power of attorney and how to obtain one 5. Shifting money management responsibilities when the time is right

Description: In this session, the following essays from the Society of Actuaries Living to 100 Call for Essays are presented. Essays: Potential for Mortality Improvement from Cognitive and Psychological Factors – Gordon Woo, – Ph. D. How Growing Inequality in the United States Makes Long-Term Care Financing Reform A Lot Harder – Karl Polzer – MPA Alcohol and Mortality, Sam Gutterman, FSA, CERA, FCA, FCA, HONFIA, MAAA

Description: Description of Long Term Care programs in various European countries.

Description: Table constructed from lifetime long-term care cost studies conducted by P.J. Eric Stallard, ASA, FCA, MAAA, Center for Demographic Studies, Duke University.

Description: This report, as well as the previous three, is based on data gathered for policies issued back to 1984. Data in this report has been combined and analyzed from 20 organizations 24 insurers that provided information to further the public and private knowledge of long-term care insurance.